Former President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva has 50% of the voting intentions and Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro 43%, according to a poll released today less than a week before the second round of elections.
The Ipec poll shows the candidates two points closer than in a poll carried out by the same company a week ago, which maintains the projection of Lula’s victory.
If only valid votes are taken into account, discarding blank and invalid votes, Lula would obtain 54% of the votes, compared to 46% for his rival.
In the first round of the presidential elections, held on October 2, former president Lula (2003-2010) was the most voted candidate, with 48.4% of the votes, and the current president followed him with 43.2%.
The data from the Ipec poll are more favorable to Lula than the latest Datafolha poll, which puts the leader of the Workers’ Party with 49% of the votes and Bolsonaro with 44%.
Polling companies have been widely questioned in Brazil for not detecting the strength of Bolsonaro and his allies in the first round of elections.
Major polls predicted Lula’s victory and Bolsonaro’s second place, but estimated the difference between the two at between 10 and 15 percentage points.
After the October 2 elections, several Bolsonaro allies called for an investigation into the failures of the polls and also suggested that supporters of the Brazilian leader not respond to the polling companies.
The Ipec poll has a margin of error of two percentage points and was prepared with 3,008 interviews carried out between Saturday and Monday in 184 municipalities throughout Brazil.
Part of the interviewees participated in the study after the debate held on Sunday night between Bolsonaro and Lula.
Lula da Silva and Jair Bolsonaro face off in the second round of the presidential elections on October 30.
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